Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Does Winning Free Agency Matter?

In short no.

With a free agent frenzy going on right now it is easy to get excited about your team's ability to change it's fortunes. But does "winning" free agency help a team win. Check out this dashboard below that looks at free agency over the last 5 years and every team's change in record.

As you can see there is not a strong relationship between a team successfully acquiring the top free agents on the market and winning the following year. For example, the Falcons last year made a big splash in free agency signing 4 of the top 50 free agents. However, their regular season win percentage went from 81% in 2012 to 25% in 2013. This was due in part to injuries but it shows that success in free agency doesn't guarantee a great season.

Play with the dashboard and find out yourself.

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